When ML algos started becoming good, it was thought boring repetitive tasks would be automated first. in reality, opposite happened. it was creative jobs like designing, coding, writing that AI excelled at. so hard to predict what trajectory this'll take as it evolves.
Whoever gets hands on first AGI will have massive advantage over others and probably no competition imho.
Don't you think these " AI orchestrators" is exactly what software industry is demanding of people right now? Organizations are telling us to use AI in our regular workflows. When you are saying that 1 person can lead a team of 20 agents, we forget that, opposed to leading a team of 20 devs the cognitive load of the senior while handling the agents increases manifold, because he is the one fully owning this end to end. So these jobs start becoming "ultra-specialized" thereby increasing their demand and also their cost, effectively closing the arbitrage of agents vs junior devs. Then they have to hire juniors as well, just to establish the hierarchy and taking the cognitive load off of seniors. So i get it, if you are going to say 20 people will shrink to 5 or 7, but i dont think its going to 1 anytime soon.Moreover with these 5-7 people, i dont think companies will see significant cost-savings as people move out of the industry. Software however, will be shipped much faster than before and in much more volume, with better features from the get go.
When ML algos started becoming good, it was thought boring repetitive tasks would be automated first. in reality, opposite happened. it was creative jobs like designing, coding, writing that AI excelled at. so hard to predict what trajectory this'll take as it evolves.
Whoever gets hands on first AGI will have massive advantage over others and probably no competition imho.
That's a much pragmatic take, considering the second order effects of it, great read ! definitely gave a new perspective : )
Don't you think these " AI orchestrators" is exactly what software industry is demanding of people right now? Organizations are telling us to use AI in our regular workflows. When you are saying that 1 person can lead a team of 20 agents, we forget that, opposed to leading a team of 20 devs the cognitive load of the senior while handling the agents increases manifold, because he is the one fully owning this end to end. So these jobs start becoming "ultra-specialized" thereby increasing their demand and also their cost, effectively closing the arbitrage of agents vs junior devs. Then they have to hire juniors as well, just to establish the hierarchy and taking the cognitive load off of seniors. So i get it, if you are going to say 20 people will shrink to 5 or 7, but i dont think its going to 1 anytime soon.Moreover with these 5-7 people, i dont think companies will see significant cost-savings as people move out of the industry. Software however, will be shipped much faster than before and in much more volume, with better features from the get go.